Eli Sanders – A Theory on Obama’s Loss

A Theory on Obama’s Loss

Seattle Stranger

Posted by on January 9 at 9:05 AM

Something very surprising happened in New Hampshire last night. In the days before the primary, poll after poll showed Hillary Clinton losing to Barack Obama by double digits. Then, last night, she beat him by three percentage points. The polling director for ABC News writes:

It is simply unprecedented for so many polls to have been so wrong. We need to know why.

We do. Or, at least, political junkies and campaign strategists do. So what happened?

The Page offers a running list of theories that might explain the outcome—including the effect of Clinton’s tearing up, the state’s complicated Independent math, and the fact that New Hampshire is used to women leaders.

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